Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
30%
23%
47%
Home win
29.8%
Draw
23.0%
Away win
47.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Lyon | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.7% | 27.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.4% | 7.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.8% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Lyon | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.7
|
5.5
|
5.9
|
3.8
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
4.2
|
9.8
|
9.0
|
5.8
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.6
|
7.0
|
6.8
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
3.6
|
3.5
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Montpellier
1-4
Lyon
Jan 2025
Lyon
1-0
Montpellier
Feb 2024
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
Aug 2023
Lyon
1-4
Montpellier
May 2023
Lyon
5-4
Montpellier
Oct 2022
Montpellier
1-2
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.