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Friday 28 April 2017, 21:45 Stade Raymond Kopa Full time
1–2
HT 0–2
28% 26% 45%
Home win
28.4%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
45.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 28.4% 3.52
Draw 26.4% 3.79
Lyon 45.2% 2.21

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.0% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.0% 14.33
Over 1.5 77.1% 1.30
Under 1.5 22.9% 4.36
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.8% 6.77
Under 4.5 85.2% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.0% 1.78
No 44.0% 2.27

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 54.8% 1.83
Angers / Lyon 73.6% 1.36
Draw / Lyon 71.6% 1.40

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.0
9.1
7.7
4.0
1.6
0.5
1
6.8
12.5
9.3
4.9
1.9
0.6
2
4.5
7.1
5.6
2.9
1.1
0.4
3
1.8
2.8
2.2
1.2
0.5
0.1
4
0.5
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.