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Sunday 2 April 2017, 18:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
43% 30% 27%
Home win
42.8%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 42.8% 2.34
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Angers 27.3% 3.67

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.76
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.8% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.30
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.98
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 72.7% 1.38
Nantes / Angers 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Angers 57.2% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
9.5
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.8
13.9
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.7
8.4
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.7
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.