Saturday 4 March 2017, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
43%
30%
27%
Home win
43.4%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
26.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Angers | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.54 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.3% | 5.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.4% | 13.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Caen / Angers | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Angers | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
9.5
|
4.8
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
13.9
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
8.3
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.8
|
3.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
0-1
Angers
Dec 2018
Angers
1-1
Caen
Mar 2018
Angers
3-0
Caen
Oct 2017
Caen
0-2
Angers
Sep 2016
Angers
2-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.