Sunday 5 March 2017, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
89%
8%
3%
Home win
88.8%
Draw
8.2%
Away win
3.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.2% | 12.22 | — | — |
| Nantes | 3.1% | 32.62 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.0% | 50.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.7% | 11.45 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Monaco / Nantes | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 11.3% | 8.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.5
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.0
|
7.1
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.3
|
6.1
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
7.1
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Monaco
3-1
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
3-5
Monaco
Feb 2025
Monaco
7-1
Nantes
Jan 2025
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
May 2024
Monaco
4-0
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
3-3
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.