Saturday 19 August 2017, 21:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
63%
23%
14%
Home win
63.1%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
14.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Nantes | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 13.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Nantes | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
10.7
|
4.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
9.7
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.7
|
6.2
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Nantes
2-2
Estac Troyes
Dec 2022
Estac Troyes
0-0
Nantes
Mar 2022
Estac Troyes
1-0
Nantes
Oct 2021
Nantes
2-0
Estac Troyes
Mar 2018
Nantes
1-0
Estac Troyes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.