Saturday 12 August 2017, 18:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
29%
29%
43%
Home win
28.9%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
42.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 28.9% | 3.47 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Marseille | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.0% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 9.87 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Nantes / Marseille | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
11.1
|
8.1
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.6
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
6.9
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.5
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nantes
3-0
Marseille
Jan 2026
Marseille
0-2
Nantes
Mar 2025
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Nov 2024
Nantes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Sep 2023
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.