Saturday 29 April 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
52%
25%
24%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Lorient | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.4% | 6.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Nantes / Lorient | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
5.7
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
11.8
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
9.7
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.1
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Lorient
2-1
Nantes
Nov 2025
Nantes
1-1
Lorient
Feb 2024
Lorient
0-1
Nantes
Sep 2023
Nantes
5-3
Lorient
Feb 2023
Nantes
1-0
Lorient
Sep 2022
Lorient
3-2
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.