Saturday 22 April 2017, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
57%
22%
21%
Home win
57.1%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
20.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Metz | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.0% | 6.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Lorient / Metz | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
4.0
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
10.1
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.8
|
5.8
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
6.7
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Metz
0-4
Lorient
Jan 2026
Lorient
1-1
Metz
Feb 2024
Metz
1-2
Lorient
Nov 2023
Lorient
2-3
Metz
Apr 2022
Lorient
1-0
Metz
Dec 2021
Metz
4-1
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.