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Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00 Parc Olympique Lyonnais Full time
3–3
HT 1–1
49% 25% 26%
Home win
48.7%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
26.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon 48.7% 2.05
Draw 25.0% 4.00
Nice 26.3% 3.81

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.90
Over 1.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 1.5 20.1% 4.98
Over 2.5 56.5% 1.77
Under 2.5 43.5% 2.30
Over 3.5 34.1% 2.94
Under 3.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 4.5 17.6% 5.69
Under 4.5 82.4% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lyon / Draw 73.7% 1.36
Lyon / Nice 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Nice 51.3% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
5.7
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
1
8.4
11.7
6.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
2
7.9
9.6
5.8
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
4.5
5.5
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
2.0
2.4
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.7
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Lyon goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.