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Friday 25 August 2017, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
73% 19% 8%
Home win
72.8%
Draw
18.8%
Away win
8.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 72.8% 1.37
Draw 18.8% 5.32
Saint Etienne 8.3% 11.98

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.02
Over 1.5 75.9% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.2% 4.14
Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96
Under 2.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 3.5 28.9% 3.46
Under 3.5 71.1% 1.41
Over 4.5 13.9% 7.20
Under 4.5 86.1% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.4% 2.54
No 60.6% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 91.7% 1.09
Paris Saint Germain / Saint Etienne 81.2% 1.23
Draw / Saint Etienne 27.2% 3.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
3.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.6
8.7
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.0
8.8
2.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.7
6.2
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
5.7
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.