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Saturday 20 May 2017, 22:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
28% 36% 36%
Home win
28.2%
Draw
35.7%
Away win
36.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 28.2% 3.55
Draw 35.7% 2.80
Saint Etienne 36.1% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 80.6% 1.24
Under 0.5 19.4% 5.16
Over 1.5 50.9% 1.97
Under 1.5 49.1% 2.04
Over 2.5 23.8% 4.20
Under 2.5 76.2% 1.31
Over 3.5 9.0% 11.05
Under 3.5 91.0% 1.10
Over 4.5 2.8% 35.14
Under 4.5 97.2% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.9% 3.04
No 67.1% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 63.9% 1.56
Nancy / Saint Etienne 64.3% 1.56
Draw / Saint Etienne 71.8% 1.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
19.4
16.2
7.7
2.3
0.5
0.1
1
13.6
13.8
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
5.5
5.0
2.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
3
1.4
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.