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Saturday 23 September 2017, 18:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
11% 19% 70%
Home win
11.4%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
69.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 11.4% 8.75
Draw 18.9% 5.29
Paris Saint Germain 69.7% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.59
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.2% 5.48
Over 2.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 2.5 40.6% 2.47
Over 3.5 37.1% 2.70
Under 3.5 62.9% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.8% 5.04
Under 4.5 80.2% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.4% 1.98
No 49.6% 2.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 30.3% 3.30
Montpellier / Paris Saint Germain 81.1% 1.23
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 88.6% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
9.9
11.8
8.9
5.0
2.3
1
3.2
9.0
9.6
7.3
4.1
1.9
2
1.5
3.5
3.9
3.0
1.7
0.8
3
0.4
0.9
1.1
0.8
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.