Saturday 12 August 2017, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
52%
28%
20%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
20.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.1% | 4.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.12 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Montpellier | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
7.3
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
12.9
|
5.1
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.1
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2024
Montpellier
0-3
Toulouse
May 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Montpellier
Oct 2023
Montpellier
3-0
Toulouse
Apr 2023
Montpellier
1-2
Toulouse
Oct 2022
Toulouse
4-2
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.