Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
34%
30%
36%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
36.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Metz / Toulouse | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
10.9
|
6.9
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
14.0
|
7.8
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.5
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.8
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Metz
3-4
Toulouse
Oct 2025
Toulouse
4-0
Metz
Jan 2024
Metz
0-1
Toulouse
Oct 2023
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Sep 2019
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Mar 2018
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.