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Saturday 6 May 2017, 21:00 Stade Pierre-Mauroy Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
64% 22% 14%
Home win
64.1%
Draw
22.2%
Away win
13.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille 64.1% 1.56
Draw 22.2% 4.51
Metz 13.8% 7.25

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.18
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.25
Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.4% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.5% 3.39
Under 3.5 70.5% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.3% 6.99
Under 4.5 85.7% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.4% 2.11
No 52.6% 1.90

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Lille / Draw 86.2% 1.16
Lille / Metz 77.8% 1.28
Draw / Metz 35.9% 2.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
4.5
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
12.0
10.5
3.9
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.3
9.7
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
8.0
6.3
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
3.9
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.5
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Lille goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.