Saturday 29 April 2017, 18:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
79%
15%
6%
Home win
79.3%
Draw
14.6%
Away win
6.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.6% | 6.84 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 6.1% | 16.50 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.9% | 5.58 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.4% | 4.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| No | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Monaco / Toulouse | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
6.9
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.3
|
8.3
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.0
|
7.0
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.6
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.9
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
2-2
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
1-0
Toulouse
Mar 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Dec 2024
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.