Saturday 26 August 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
52%
24%
24%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
24.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.8% | 5.06 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.9% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Dijon / Montpellier | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
5.4
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
11.5
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.3
|
9.7
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
5.8
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Montpellier
4-2
Dijon
Sep 2020
Dijon
2-2
Montpellier
Jan 2020
Montpellier
2-1
Dijon
Dec 2019
Dijon
2-2
Montpellier
Jan 2019
Dijon
1-1
Montpellier
Aug 2018
Montpellier
1-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.