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Saturday 16 September 2017, 21:00 Stade de l'Aube Full time
Estac Troyes
0–1
HT 0–1
Montpellier
53% 27% 20%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
19.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Estac Troyes 53.2% 1.88 — —
Draw 27.2% 3.67 — —
Montpellier 19.5% 5.12 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11 — —
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.83 — —
Over 1.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Under 1.5 31.0% 3.22 — —
Over 2.5 42.0% 2.38 — —
Under 2.5 58.0% 1.72 — —
Over 3.5 21.3% 4.70 — —
Under 3.5 78.7% 1.27 — —
Over 4.5 9.1% 11.01 — —
Under 4.5 90.9% 1.10 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.8% 2.23 — —
No 55.2% 1.81 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Estac Troyes / Draw 80.5% 1.24 — —
Estac Troyes / Montpellier 72.8% 1.37 — —
Draw / Montpellier 46.8% 2.14 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
7.1
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
13.8
12.7
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
11.1
9.2
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
5.7
4.7
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.2
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Estac Troyes goals. Columns: Montpellier goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Estac Troyes
D W L L D
Montpellier
W L D L L

Head to head

Feb 2023 Estac Troyes 0-1 Montpellier Aug 2022 Montpellier 3-2 Estac Troyes Jan 2022 Montpellier 0-1 Estac Troyes Sep 2021 Estac Troyes 1-1 Montpellier May 2018 Montpellier 1-1 Estac Troyes

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.