Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00
Stade de la Mosson
Full time
53%
29%
18%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
17.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 17.8% | 5.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.1% | 6.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montpellier / Draw | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Montpellier / Estac Troyes | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
7.8
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.5
|
12.7
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
8.4
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.6
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Estac Troyes
0-1
Montpellier
Aug 2022
Montpellier
3-2
Estac Troyes
Jan 2022
Montpellier
0-1
Estac Troyes
Sep 2021
Estac Troyes
1-1
Montpellier
Sep 2017
Estac Troyes
0-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.