Sunday 22 April 2018, 16:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
52%
27%
21%
Home win
52.1%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
20.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 20.6% | 4.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.19 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.6% | 10.46 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Nice / Montpellier | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
7.2
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
12.8
|
5.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.6
|
9.2
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
4.7
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Nice
2-0
Montpellier
Dec 2024
Montpellier
2-2
Nice
Mar 2024
Nice
1-2
Montpellier
Nov 2023
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
May 2023
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
Jan 2023
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.