Saturday 9 September 2017, 21:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
47%
30%
24%
Home win
46.5%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
23.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 23.7% | 4.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.0% | 8.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.9% | 5.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.1% | 14.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Toulouse | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.0
|
8.9
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.0
|
13.6
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
8.5
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.3
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Toulouse
4-1
Estac Troyes
Aug 2022
Estac Troyes
0-3
Toulouse
Jan 2018
Toulouse
1-0
Estac Troyes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.