Saturday 27 January 2018, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
43%
32%
25%
Home win
43.1%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
25.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.6% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.7% | 6.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Estac Troyes | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.0
|
10.3
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
13.9
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
7.8
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2023
Toulouse
4-1
Estac Troyes
Aug 2022
Estac Troyes
0-3
Toulouse
Sep 2017
Estac Troyes
0-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.