Wednesday 20 December 2017, 21:50
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
64%
22%
14%
Home win
64.4%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
13.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 13.6% | 7.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.28 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Marseille / Estac Troyes | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
10.5
|
3.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
9.7
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
6.3
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.0
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Marseille
3-1
Estac Troyes
Jan 2023
Estac Troyes
0-2
Marseille
Feb 2022
Estac Troyes
1-1
Marseille
Nov 2021
Marseille
1-0
Estac Troyes
Apr 2018
Estac Troyes
2-3
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.