Skip to content
Friday 27 October 2017, 21:45 Parc des Princes Full time
72% 18% 10%
Home win
72.3%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
10.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 72.3% 1.38
Draw 17.6% 5.69
Nice 10.1% 9.90

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.63
Over 1.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.9% 5.92
Over 2.5 61.6% 1.62
Under 2.5 38.4% 2.61
Over 3.5 39.3% 2.54
Under 3.5 60.7% 1.65
Over 4.5 21.6% 4.63
Under 4.5 78.4% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.2% 1.99
No 49.8% 2.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 89.9% 1.11
Paris Saint Germain / Nice 82.4% 1.21
Draw / Nice 27.7% 3.61

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
2.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
9.4
8.3
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
11.8
9.4
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.4
7.5
3.0
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
5.6
4.5
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.7
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.