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Friday 22 September 2017, 20:00 Allianz Riviera Full time
2–2
HT 1–2
63% 24% 14%
Home win
62.7%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice 62.7% 1.60
Draw 23.6% 4.24
Angers 13.7% 7.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.57
Over 1.5 72.4% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.6% 3.62
Over 2.5 46.2% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.7% 4.04
Under 3.5 75.3% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.93
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.5% 2.30
No 56.5% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nice / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Nice / Angers 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Angers 37.3% 2.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
5.1
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
13.8
11.0
3.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
13.1
9.4
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
7.8
5.6
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
3.5
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.3
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nice goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.