Saturday 9 September 2017, 18:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
26%
24%
50%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
49.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.4% | 4.10 | — | — |
| Monaco | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.75 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.5% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| No | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Nice / Monaco | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
7.8
|
7.6
|
4.6
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.3
|
11.3
|
9.6
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
6.7
|
6.0
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.8
|
2.5
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nice
0-0
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
2-2
Nice
Mar 2025
Monaco
2-1
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
2-1
Monaco
Feb 2024
Nice
2-3
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
0-1
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.