Sunday 27 August 2017, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
72%
17%
11%
Home win
72.0%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
10.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.4% | 5.75 | — | — |
| Marseille | 10.6% | 9.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 24.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.5% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 23.7% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| No | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Monaco / Marseille | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
8.2
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.4
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.0
|
7.7
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
4.7
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.7
|
2.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Monaco
2-1
Marseille
Dec 2025
Marseille
1-0
Monaco
Apr 2025
Monaco
3-0
Marseille
Dec 2024
Marseille
2-1
Monaco
Jan 2024
Marseille
2-2
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.