Saturday 28 October 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
44%
29%
27%
Home win
44.2%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
27.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 44.2% | 2.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Nantes | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.7% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.8% | 10.22 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Dijon / Nantes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
8.4
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
13.5
|
6.6
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.6
|
8.8
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Dijon
0-4
Nantes
Dec 2020
Nantes
1-1
Dijon
Feb 2020
Dijon
3-3
Nantes
Dec 2019
Nantes
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Nantes
3-0
Dijon
Aug 2018
Dijon
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.