Saturday 16 September 2017, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
52%
29%
20%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
19.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Caen | 19.8% | 5.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.5% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.3% | 13.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.9% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Nantes / Caen | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 48.4% | 2.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
13.0
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.2
|
8.7
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Caen
0-1
Nantes
Aug 2018
Nantes
1-1
Caen
Feb 2018
Caen
3-2
Nantes
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Nantes
Jan 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.