Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:00
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Full time
50%
31%
19%
Home win
50.0%
Draw
31.1%
Away win
18.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Caen | 18.9% | 5.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.6% | 21.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Nantes / Caen | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.3
|
9.0
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.6
|
13.0
|
4.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
7.7
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Caen
0-1
Nantes
Feb 2018
Caen
3-2
Nantes
Sep 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Nantes
Jan 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.