Sunday 4 February 2018, 18:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
31%
34%
35%
Home win
30.9%
Draw
34.2%
Away win
34.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Nantes | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.3% | 8.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.8% | 26.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Caen / Nantes | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.9
|
14.5
|
7.3
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.3
|
14.2
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Caen
0-1
Nantes
Aug 2018
Nantes
1-1
Caen
Sep 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
0-2
Nantes
Jan 2017
Nantes
1-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.