Saturday 11 August 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Full time
20%
25%
56%
Home win
19.9%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
55.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 19.9% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Monaco | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.33 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Nantes / Monaco | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
10.6
|
10.0
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
11.7
|
9.8
|
5.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
5.4
|
4.8
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Monaco
3-1
Nantes
Oct 2025
Nantes
3-5
Monaco
Feb 2025
Monaco
7-1
Nantes
Jan 2025
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
May 2024
Monaco
4-0
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
3-3
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.