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Friday 20 April 2018, 20:30 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
37% 33% 31%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
30.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 36.7% 2.72
Draw 32.6% 3.07
Rennes 30.7% 3.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.4% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.6% 6.85
Over 1.5 59.7% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 2.5 31.8% 3.14
Under 2.5 68.2% 1.47
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.17
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.63
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.2% 2.49
No 59.8% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 69.3% 1.44
Nantes / Rennes 67.4% 1.48
Draw / Rennes 63.3% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.6
12.1
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
1
13.6
14.3
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
7.6
7.1
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.