Sunday 1 April 2018, 18:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
45%
31%
25%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
24.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.5% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 24.5% | 4.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.5% | 6.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
| No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Nantes / Saint Etienne | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
9.5
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.3
|
13.8
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.5
|
8.2
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
3.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Saint Etienne
1-1
Nantes
Sep 2024
Nantes
2-2
Saint Etienne
May 2022
Nantes
1-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2021
Saint Etienne
0-1
Nantes
Feb 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Nantes
Sep 2020
Nantes
2-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.