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Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00 Stade Louis II Full time
74% 16% 10%
Home win
74.0%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
9.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 74.0% 1.35
Draw 16.3% 6.14
Saint Etienne 9.7% 10.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 26.88
Over 1.5 85.9% 1.16
Under 1.5 14.1% 7.09
Over 2.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 2.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 3.5 44.5% 2.25
Under 3.5 55.5% 1.80
Over 4.5 25.8% 3.87
Under 4.5 74.2% 1.35

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.2% 1.88
No 46.8% 2.14

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 90.3% 1.11
Monaco / Saint Etienne 83.7% 1.19
Draw / Saint Etienne 26.0% 3.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
2.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
1
8.0
7.6
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
10.8
9.2
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
9.3
7.9
3.3
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
6.0
5.0
2.1
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
3.1
2.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.