Saturday 28 April 2018, 21:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
75%
16%
9%
Home win
74.8%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
8.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.5% | 6.07 | — | — |
| Amiens | 8.7% | 11.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.14 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.0% | 4.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| No | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 91.3% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Monaco / Amiens | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw / Amiens | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
2.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
7.8
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.4
|
9.1
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.2
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.1
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2020
Amiens
1-2
Monaco
Dec 2019
Monaco
3-0
Amiens
May 2019
Monaco
2-0
Amiens
Dec 2018
Amiens
0-2
Monaco
Nov 2017
Amiens
1-1
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.