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Saturday 10 February 2018, 18:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
12% 22% 66%
Home win
11.6%
Draw
22.0%
Away win
66.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 11.6% 8.65
Draw 22.0% 4.54
Paris Saint Germain 66.4% 1.51

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.13
Over 1.5 73.2% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.8% 3.74
Over 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.89
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.46
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.8% 2.39
No 58.2% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 33.6% 2.98
Toulouse / Paris Saint Germain 78.0% 1.28
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 88.4% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
14.0
13.9
8.8
4.2
1.6
1
4.5
10.3
9.2
5.9
2.8
1.1
2
1.7
3.2
3.1
1.9
0.9
0.4
3
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.