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Sunday 26 August 2018, 18:00 Stade Matmut-Atlantique Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
27% 24% 49%
Home win
26.7%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
49.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux 26.7% 3.75
Draw 24.3% 4.12
Monaco 49.0% 2.04

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.43
Over 1.5 82.1% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.9% 5.60
Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.2% 2.49
Over 3.5 37.5% 2.67
Under 3.5 62.5% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.1% 4.96
Under 4.5 79.9% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.2% 1.63
No 38.8% 2.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bordeaux / Draw 51.0% 1.96
Bordeaux / Monaco 75.7% 1.32
Draw / Monaco 73.3% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.5
7.4
4.5
2.0
0.7
1
5.2
11.2
9.5
5.7
2.6
0.9
2
3.7
6.8
6.1
3.7
1.7
0.6
3
1.6
2.9
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bordeaux goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.