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Tuesday 25 September 2018, 20:00 Stade Louis II Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
72% 17% 10%
Home win
72.4%
Draw
17.4%
Away win
10.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 72.4% 1.38
Draw 17.4% 5.75
Angers 10.2% 9.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.61
Over 1.5 83.7% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.3% 6.14
Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.4% 2.68
Over 3.5 40.4% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.5% 4.45
Under 4.5 77.5% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 89.8% 1.11
Monaco / Angers 82.6% 1.21
Draw / Angers 27.6% 3.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
2.7
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
9.1
8.2
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
11.6
9.4
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
9.3
7.6
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
5.6
4.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.7
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.