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Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
46% 28% 26%
Home win
45.6%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
26.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 45.6% 2.19
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Lille 26.1% 3.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.5% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.5% 10.51
Over 1.5 70.7% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.3% 3.41
Over 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 3.5 77.1% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.0% 9.97
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 73.9% 1.35
Angers / Lille 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Lille 54.4% 1.84

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.5
8.1
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
11.7
13.4
6.4
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
8.8
9.0
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.2
4.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.5
1.5
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Lille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.