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Saturday 25 August 2018, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
82% 13% 5%
Home win
82.4%
Draw
12.6%
Away win
5.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 82.4% 1.21
Draw 12.6% 7.97
Angers 5.1% 19.63

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.2% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.8% 26.46
Over 1.5 85.3% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.7% 6.81
Over 2.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 2.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 3.5 43.5% 2.30
Under 3.5 56.5% 1.77
Over 4.5 25.0% 4.00
Under 4.5 75.0% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.2% 2.37
No 57.8% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 94.9% 1.05
Paris Saint Germain / Angers 87.4% 1.14
Draw / Angers 17.6% 5.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.8
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.2
6.0
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
13.3
7.8
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
12.3
7.3
2.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
8.6
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
4.8
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.