Friday 21 September 2018, 21:45
Stade Louis II
Full time
70%
15%
15%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
14.6%
Away win
15.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
| Nimes | 15.2% | 6.57 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.0% | 103.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.1% | 24.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| No | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Monaco / Nimes | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw / Nimes | 29.9% | 3.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
2.2
|
4.1
|
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
6.4
|
5.2
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
7.1
|
5.7
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
5.9
|
4.7
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
3.9
|
3.1
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2021
Nimes
3-4
Monaco
Nov 2020
Monaco
3-0
Nimes
Feb 2020
Nimes
3-1
Monaco
Aug 2019
Monaco
2-2
Nimes
May 2019
Nimes
1-0
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.