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Saturday 1 September 2018, 18:00 Stade des Costières Full time
21% 20% 59%
Home win
20.9%
Draw
20.5%
Away win
58.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nimes 20.9% 4.80
Draw 20.5% 4.88
Paris Saint Germain 58.7% 1.70

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.15
Over 1.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 1.5 11.7% 8.55
Over 2.5 70.4% 1.42
Under 2.5 29.6% 3.38
Over 3.5 49.3% 2.03
Under 3.5 50.7% 1.97
Over 4.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 4.5 69.9% 1.43

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.8% 1.50
No 33.2% 3.01

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nimes / Draw 41.3% 2.42
Nimes / Paris Saint Germain 79.5% 1.26
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 79.1% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
5.6
7.0
5.4
3.1
1.4
1
3.0
8.6
9.3
7.2
4.1
1.9
2
2.3
5.4
6.2
4.8
2.8
1.3
3
1.0
2.4
2.8
2.1
1.2
0.6
4
0.3
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Nimes goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.