Friday 28 September 2018, 21:45
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
25%
25%
50%
Home win
24.9%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
49.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Monaco | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.5% | 4.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Monaco | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
9.1
|
8.4
|
4.8
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.9
|
11.9
|
9.6
|
5.5
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
3.8
|
6.5
|
5.5
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
2.5
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Saint Etienne
1-3
Monaco
Aug 2024
Monaco
1-0
Saint Etienne
Apr 2022
Saint Etienne
1-4
Monaco
Sep 2021
Monaco
3-1
Saint Etienne
Mar 2021
Saint Etienne
0-4
Monaco
Dec 2020
Monaco
2-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.