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Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
40% 31% 29%
Home win
39.9%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
28.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 39.9% 2.51
Draw 31.4% 3.19
Saint Etienne 28.8% 3.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.62
Over 1.5 62.7% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.3% 2.68
Over 2.5 34.9% 2.87
Under 2.5 65.1% 1.53
Over 3.5 16.0% 6.25
Under 3.5 84.0% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.27
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.5% 2.35
No 57.5% 1.74

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 71.2% 1.40
Montpellier / Saint Etienne 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Saint Etienne 60.1% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
10.8
5.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
13.4
14.2
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.2
7.7
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
3.2
3.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.