Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
83%
12%
5%
Home win
82.5%
Draw
12.5%
Away win
5.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.5% | 8.03 | — | — |
| Lille | 5.0% | 19.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.8% | 26.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.6% | 6.83 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| No | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Monaco / Lille | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.8
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
5.9
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.3
|
7.8
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.4
|
7.3
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.6
|
5.1
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.8
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Monaco
0-1
Lille
Aug 2025
Lille
1-0
Monaco
Feb 2025
Lille
2-1
Monaco
Oct 2024
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Apr 2024
Monaco
1-0
Lille
Oct 2023
Lille
2-0
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.