Saturday 17 September 2016, 21:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
12%
16%
72%
Home win
12.3%
Draw
15.9%
Away win
71.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 12.3% | 8.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.9% | 6.28 | — | — |
| Lille | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 43.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.2% | 10.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.7% | 4.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Lorient / Lille | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
5.1
|
7.7
|
7.2
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
| 1 |
1.8
|
6.6
|
8.7
|
8.1
|
5.7
|
3.2
|
| 2 |
1.2
|
3.5
|
4.9
|
4.6
|
3.2
|
1.8
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
1.3
|
1.9
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lille
1-1
Lorient
Aug 2025
Lorient
1-7
Lille
Jan 2024
Lille
3-0
Lorient
Aug 2023
Lorient
4-1
Lille
Apr 2023
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Oct 2022
Lorient
2-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.