Friday 26 August 2016, 21:45
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
3%
93%
4%
Home win
3.4%
Draw
92.8%
Away win
3.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 3.4% | 29.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Lorient | 3.8% | 26.28 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 7.4% | 13.53 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 0.3% | 346.02 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 99.7% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.0% | 14,285.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.2% | 666.67 | — | — |
| No | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Marseille / Lorient | 7.2% | 13.80 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
92.6
|
3.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Lorient
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2025
Marseille
4-0
Lorient
May 2024
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
Dec 2023
Lorient
2-4
Marseille
Apr 2023
Lorient
0-0
Marseille
Jan 2023
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.