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Sunday 21 August 2016, 16:00 Stade du Roudourou Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
22% 70% 8%
Home win
21.9%
Draw
70.2%
Away win
7.8%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp 21.9% 4.56
Draw 70.2% 1.42
Marseille 7.8% 12.74

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 0.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 1.5 5.9% 16.84
Under 1.5 94.1% 1.06
Over 2.5 0.7% 137.74
Under 2.5 99.3% 1.01
Over 3.5 0.1% 1,449.28
Under 3.5 99.9% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 20,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 2.6% 37.91
No 97.4% 1.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Guingamp / Draw 92.2% 1.09
Guingamp / Marseille 29.8% 3.36
Draw / Marseille 78.1% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
68.0
7.3
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
18.7
2.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
2.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Guingamp goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.